Matt Little vs. Eric Pratt polls and 2026 forecast (Minnesota's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Matt Little (D) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Little +11.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Little +4.8 and Little +17.9. Polling average: Little +6.6 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Angie Craig. 2024 presidential result here: D+6.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works