Kristen McDonald Rivet vs. Thomas Smith polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 8th District)
Our forecast gives Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Rivet +16.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Rivet +9.2 and Rivet +24.0. Incumbent: Kristen McDonald Rivet (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+2.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works