Ben Ambrose vs. John Moolenaar polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives John Moolenaar (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Moolenaar +25.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Moolenaar +32.6 and Moolenaar +18.1. Incumbent: John Moolenaar (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+30.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works