Donavan McKinney vs. T. P. Nykoriak polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 13th District)
Our forecast gives Donavan McKinney (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: McKinney +49.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between McKinney +41.1 and McKinney +57.7. Incumbent: Shri Thanedar. 2024 presidential result here: D+42.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works