Rashida Tlaib vs. James Hooper polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 12th District)
Our forecast gives Rashida Tlaib (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Tlaib +51.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Tlaib +44.6 and Tlaib +59.0. Incumbent: Rashida Tlaib (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+39.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works