Jeremy Moss vs. Ethan Baker polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 11th District)
Our forecast gives Jeremy Moss (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Moss +24.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Moss +16.4 and Moss +33.0. Incumbent: Haley Stevens. 2024 presidential result here: D+16.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works