Christina Hines vs. Mike Bouchard Jr. polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 10th District)
Our forecast gives Christina Hines (D) a 56% chance of winning (rating: Toss-up), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Hines +0.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bouchard +6.0 and Hines +7.5. Polling average: Bouchard +3.4 across 2 polls. Incumbent: John James. 2024 presidential result here: R+6.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works