Callie Barr vs. Jack Bergman polls and 2026 forecast (Michigan's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Jack Bergman (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bergman +14.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bergman +21.9 and Bergman +7.3. Incumbent: Jack Bergman (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+21.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works