Jamie Raskin vs. Cheryl Riley polls and 2026 forecast (Maryland's 8th District)
Our forecast gives Jamie Raskin (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Raskin +65.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Raskin +57.9 and Raskin +72.4. Incumbent: Jamie Raskin (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+58.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works