Adrian Boafo vs. Chris Chaffee polls and 2026 forecast (Maryland's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Adrian Boafo (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Boafo +41.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Boafo +33.5 and Boafo +50.0. Incumbent: Steny Hoyer. 2024 presidential result here: D+34.0.
House forecast · How the forecast works