Glenn Ivey vs. George McDermott polls and 2026 forecast (Maryland's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Glenn Ivey (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Ivey +83.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Ivey +75.8 and Ivey +90.4. Incumbent: Glenn Ivey (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+75.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works