Bill Keating vs. Tyler MacAllister polls and 2026 forecast (Massachusetts's 9th District)
Our forecast gives Bill Keating (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Keating +21.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Keating +14.6 and Keating +29.2. Incumbent: Bill Keating (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+10.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works