Conrad Cable vs. Mike Johnson polls and 2026 forecast (Louisiana's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Mike Johnson (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Johnson +29.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Johnson +36.3 and Johnson +21.7. Incumbent: Mike Johnson (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+34.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works