Megan Wingfield vs. Brett Guthrie polls and 2026 forecast (Kentucky's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Brett Guthrie (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Guthrie +37.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Guthrie +44.7 and Guthrie +29.8. Incumbent: Brett Guthrie (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+41.9.
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