Don Coover vs. Derek Schmidt polls and 2026 forecast (Kansas's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Derek Schmidt (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Schmidt +14.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Schmidt +21.6 and Schmidt +6.7. Incumbent: Derek Schmidt (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+20.1.
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