André Carson vs. Patrick McAuley polls and 2026 forecast (Indiana's 7th District)
Our forecast gives André Carson (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Carson +49.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Carson +41.9 and Carson +56.5. Incumbent: André Carson (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+42.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works