J. D. Ford vs. Victoria Spartz polls and 2026 forecast (Indiana's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Victoria Spartz (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Spartz +10.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Spartz +16.3 and Spartz +3.9. Polling average: Spartz +7.5 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Victoria Spartz (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+17.1.
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