Drew Cox vs. Jim Baird polls and 2026 forecast (Indiana's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Jim Baird (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Baird +25.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Baird +32.8 and Baird +18.2. Incumbent: Jim Baird (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+29.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works