Mike Quigley vs. Tommy Hanson polls and 2026 forecast (Illinois's 5th District)
Our forecast gives Mike Quigley (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Quigley +46.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Quigley +39.0 and Quigley +53.3. Incumbent: Mike Quigley (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+37.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works