Eric Sorensen vs. Dillan Vancil polls and 2026 forecast (Illinois's 17th District)
Our forecast gives Eric Sorensen (D) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Sorensen +17.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Sorensen +10.4 and Sorensen +24.9. Incumbent: Eric Sorensen (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+4.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works