Kaylee Peterson vs. Russ Fulcher polls and 2026 forecast (Idaho's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Russ Fulcher (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Fulcher +33.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Fulcher +40.2 and Fulcher +27.5. Polling average: Fulcher +19.4 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Russ Fulcher (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+46.2.
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