Lindsay James vs. Joe Mitchell polls and 2026 forecast (Iowa's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Joe Mitchell (R) a 60% chance of winning (rating: Toss-up), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Mitchell +1.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Mitchell +8.1 and James +5.5. Polling average: Mitchell +2.5 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Ashley Hinson. 2024 presidential result here: R+10.1.
House forecast · How the forecast works