Christina Bohannan vs. Mariannette Miller-Meeks polls and 2026 forecast (Iowa's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Christina Bohannan (D) an 80% chance of winning (rating: Likely D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bohannan +4.2; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Miller-Meeks +2.3 and Bohannan +10.7. Polling average: Bohannan +3.3 across 2 polls. Incumbent: Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+8.6.
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