Chris Harden vs. John Cowan polls and 2026 forecast (Georgia's 11th District)
Our forecast gives John Cowan (R) a 96% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Cowan +9.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Cowan +16.7 and Cowan +2.6. Polling average: Harden +1.7 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Barry Loudermilk. 2024 presidential result here: R+23.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works