Darren Soto vs. Dan Green polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 9th District)
Our forecast gives Dan Green (R) a 69% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Green +2.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Green +8.9 and Soto +4.2. Polling average: Green +5.5 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Darren Soto (D). 2024 presidential result here: R+17.9.
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