Bale Dalton vs. Ryan Elijah polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 7th District)
Our forecast gives Ryan Elijah (R) a 57% chance of winning (rating: Toss-up), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Elijah +1.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Elijah +9.4 and Dalton +7.2. Incumbent: Cory Mills. 2024 presidential result here: R+12.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works