Phil Ehr vs. Carlos Giménez polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 28th District)
Our forecast gives Carlos Giménez (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Giménez +17.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Giménez +26.4 and Giménez +9.6. Incumbent: Carlos A. Giménez. 2024 presidential result here: R+25.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works