Eliott Rodriguez vs. María Elvira Salazar polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 27th District)
Our forecast gives María Elvira Salazar (R) a 96% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Salazar +8.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Salazar +14.8 and Salazar +2.6. Polling average: Salazar +4.4 across 3 polls. Incumbent: María Elvira Salazar (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+14.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works