Pia Dandiya vs. Casey Askar polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 22nd District)
Our forecast gives Casey Askar (R) a 64% chance of winning (rating: Lean R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Askar +1.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Askar +7.9 and Dandiya +4.4. Polling average: Askar +0.9 across 2 polls. Incumbent: None (new seat). 2024 presidential result here: R+10.4.
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