Amanda Green vs. Austin Rogers polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Austin Rogers (R) a 95% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Rogers +10.8; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Rogers +19.2 and Rogers +2.5. Incumbent: Neal Dunn. 2024 presidential result here: R+18.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works