Victor Arias vs. Jim Schwartzel polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 19th District)
Our forecast gives Jim Schwartzel (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Schwartzel +22.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Schwartzel +30.9 and Schwartzel +14.2. Incumbent: Byron Donalds. 2024 presidential result here: R+30.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works