Matthew Montavon vs. Greg Steube polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 17th District)
Our forecast gives Greg Steube (R) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Steube +17.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Steube +24.3 and Steube +9.7. Incumbent: Greg Steube (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+22.2.
House forecast · How the forecast works