Kimberly Overman vs. Gus Bilirakis polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 12th District)
Our forecast gives Gus Bilirakis (R) a 98% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bilirakis +13.4; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bilirakis +20.7 and Bilirakis +6.0. Incumbent: Gus Bilirakis (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+15.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works