James Pericola vs. Joe Strada polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 11th District)
Our forecast gives Joe Strada (R) a 95% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Strada +9.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Strada +16.0 and Strada +2.0. Polling average: Strada +5.6 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Daniel Webster. 2024 presidential result here: R+15.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works