Gay Valimont vs. Jimmy Patronis polls and 2026 forecast (Florida's 1st District)
Our forecast gives Jimmy Patronis (R) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Patronis +32.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Patronis +39.4 and Patronis +24.7. Incumbent: Jimmy Patronis (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+37.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works