Jim Himes vs. Michael Goldstein polls and 2026 forecast (Connecticut's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Jim Himes (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Himes +32.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Himes +25.4 and Himes +40.1. Incumbent: Jim Himes (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+23.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works