Joe Courtney vs. George Austin polls and 2026 forecast (Connecticut's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Joe Courtney (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Courtney +22.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Courtney +14.9 and Courtney +29.5. Incumbent: Joe Courtney (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+7.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works