Eileen Laubacher vs. Lauren Boebert polls and 2026 forecast (Colorado's 4th District)
Our forecast gives Lauren Boebert (R) an 87% chance of winning (rating: Likely R), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Boebert +5.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Boebert +12.2 and Laubacher +0.8. Polling average: Boebert +10.3 across 1 poll. Incumbent: Lauren Boebert (R). 2024 presidential result here: R+18.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works