Joe Neguse vs. Kelley Dennison polls and 2026 forecast (Colorado's 2nd District)
Our forecast gives Joe Neguse (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Neguse +48.9; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Neguse +41.6 and Neguse +56.0. Incumbent: Joe Neguse (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+40.9.
House forecast · How the forecast works