Juan Vargas vs. Jeff Belle polls and 2026 forecast (California's 52nd District)
Our forecast gives Juan Vargas (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Vargas +33.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Vargas +25.9 and Vargas +40.4. Incumbent: Juan Vargas (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+18.0.
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