Lou Correa vs. David Pan polls and 2026 forecast (California's 46th District)
Our forecast gives Lou Correa (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Correa +27.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Correa +19.8 and Correa +34.7. Incumbent: Lou Correa (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+16.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works