Maxine Waters vs. Cristian Morales polls and 2026 forecast (California's 43rd District)
Our forecast gives Maxine Waters (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Waters +58.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Waters +50.9 and Waters +65.3. Incumbent: Maxine Waters (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+50.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works