Robert Garcia vs. Brian Burley polls and 2026 forecast (California's 42nd District)
Our forecast gives Robert Garcia (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Garcia +24.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Garcia +17.0 and Garcia +31.6. Incumbent: Robert Garcia (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+13.6.
House forecast · How the forecast works