Mark Takano vs. Steve Manos polls and 2026 forecast (California's 39th District)
Our forecast gives Mark Takano (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Takano +21.5; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Takano +14.1 and Takano +28.8. Incumbent: Mark Takano (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+9.8.
House forecast · How the forecast works