Hilda Solis vs. Pedro Casas polls and 2026 forecast (California's 38th District)
Our forecast gives Hilda Solis (D) a 99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Solis +21.3; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Solis +13.0 and Solis +29.6. Incumbent: None (new seat). 2024 presidential result here: D+12.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works