Ted Lieu vs. Houston Brignano polls and 2026 forecast (California's 36th District)
Our forecast gives Ted Lieu (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Lieu +47.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Lieu +39.8 and Lieu +54.2. Incumbent: Ted Lieu (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+40.4.
House forecast · How the forecast works