Brad Sherman vs. Larry Thompson polls and 2026 forecast (California's 32nd District)
Our forecast gives Brad Sherman (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Sherman +34.6; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Sherman +27.3 and Sherman +42.0. Incumbent: Brad Sherman (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+25.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works