Ami Bera vs. Robb Tucker polls and 2026 forecast (California's 3rd District)
Our forecast gives Ami Bera (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Bera +20.7; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Bera +13.4 and Bera +28.1. Incumbent: Ami Bera (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+10.5.
House forecast · How the forecast works