Jacqui Irwin vs. Sam Gallucci polls and 2026 forecast (California's 26th District)
Our forecast gives Jacqui Irwin (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Irwin +24.0; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Irwin +15.7 and Irwin +32.2. Incumbent: Julia Brownley. 2024 presidential result here: D+15.7.
House forecast · How the forecast works