Sam Liccardo vs. Peter Soulé polls and 2026 forecast (California's 16th District)
Our forecast gives Sam Liccardo (D) a >99% chance of winning (rating: Safe D), as of October 16, 2026. Expected margin: Liccardo +59.1; in 80% of simulations the margin falls between Liccardo +51.8 and Liccardo +66.4. Incumbent: Sam Liccardo (D). 2024 presidential result here: D+49.9.
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